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Lead briefing

Behind Brazil's economic slowdown: the tension between fiscal pressure, high interest rates, and labor market resilience

Deloitte's latest forecast indicates that Brazil's economy in 2026 will feature a combination of low growth and fiscal deficits. This article explores how Brazil can break free from the cycle of high debt–high interest rates–low growth, examining the country's industrial structure, employment market, and interest rate environment.

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Tech Finance

Beyond Payments: How Brazilian Fintech Is Reshaping the Logic of Economic Growth

The explosion of fintech in Brazil is not merely the digitalization of payment scenarios. Pix, open finance, and Drex together form a public digital infrastructure that is transforming transaction costs, credit allocation, and resource distribution, fundamentally reshaping Brazil's economic growth model.

Ricardo Silva6 min read
Industrial Growth

From the seatbelt materials market perspective: Brazil's automotive industry low-growth equilibrium and transformation pressures

Brazil ICE and BEV seatbelt materials market report shows a compound annual growth rate of only 1.5% from 2025 to 2030, far below the global rate of 14.5%. This article interprets the transformation pressures facing Brazil's automotive industry behind this low growth from economic, industrial, and investment perspectives.

Ricardo Silva7 min read
Energy Mining

Oil and gas become the "third pillar" of Brazil's economy: An underestimated structural transformation and energy chess game

Brazil's economy has long relied on more than just soybeans and iron ore. The oil and gas industry, with its technology-driven approach, is becoming a key variable in trade surplus, fiscal resilience, and energy transition. This article reinterprets the macroeconomic implications and long-term competitiveness of Brazil's oil and gas sector from a structural perspective.

Fernanda Costa6 min read
Agribusiness Brazil

US agricultural trade deficit widens: Are Brazil's agricultural exports at the start of a new cycle?

The latest data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture shows that in 2025, the U.S. agricultural trade deficit reached as high as $41 billion, with soybean exports to China plummeting by 66%. The global agricultural trade landscape is being reshaped. As a major competitor, Brazil is facing potential strategic opportunities, but it also needs to confront price volatility and infrastructure shortcomings.

Lucas Oliveira6 min read
Brazil Economy

Growth under Fiscal Constraints: The Real Engine of Brazil's Economic Recovery

Brazil's economy recovered in 2023-2024, but the growth was driven mainly by expansionary fiscal policy rather than the official claimed improvement in potential output. The coexistence of high interest rates and fiscal stimulus exposed policy contradictions. This article reinterprets Brazil's growth logic from the perspectives of industry, exports, and investment.

Lucas Oliveira6 min read

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